SIALIMStatistical Intelligence for America's Local Investment Markets

Williamsport, PA Housing Market Forecast — July 2026

Typical home value $242,112 as of June 2026 · Neutral

Next month — July 2026
$243,524
+0.58% · range $243,214$243,858
Quarter — October 2026
$246,579
+1.84% · range $244,117$249,450
One year — July 2027
$251,730
+3.97% · range $249,401$254,179
Backtest error
0.1%
avg miss, last 6 months

Blue: typical Williamsport home value (Zillow ZHVI, smoothed and seasonally adjusted), last 10 years. Amber dash: forecast path through July 2027; dotted lines mark the 80% confidence range, which widens with the horizon.

Why the model sees it this way

Sialim's model forecasts the typical Williamsport home value will rise 0.6% in July 2026, from $242,112 to about $243,524. The 80% confidence range runs from $243,214 to $243,858.

Prices rose an average of 0.45% per month over the past three months, and the market is up 4.5% from a year ago.

The 30-year mortgage rate sits near 6.5% (elevated for affordability); for-sale inventory is about even with a year ago (-5%); national unemployment is 4.2%. For this metro the price-only model outperformed the macro-augmented one in backtesting, so the forecast leans on the price trend itself.

Over the most recent six-month test window, this model's predictions for Williamsport were off by 0.1% on average. Smaller is better; anything under 1% is strong for monthly home values.

How this compares with Zillow's forecast

HorizonSialimZillow's forecast
Next month+0.58%+0.40%
Three months+1.84%+0.50%
Twelve months+3.97%+0.60%

Both forecasts point the same direction for Williamsport over the next twelve months. Zillow forecast © Zillow, shown for comparison; horizons are aligned to the nearest published month. Agreement or disagreement between the two models is a useful signal either way.

Nearby PA metros

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+0.27%
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+0.21%
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Frequently asked questions

What is the Williamsport home value forecast for July 2026?

$243,524, a +0.58% change from the latest value of $242,112. The 80% confidence range is $243,214 to $243,858.

Is the Williamsport housing market cooling or heating up?

Sialim classifies Williamsport as "Neutral". No strong signal in either direction right now.

What is the Williamsport home price forecast for 2027?

Sialim's model projects $251,730 by July 2027, a +3.97% change from today's $242,112. The 80% range is $249,401 to $254,179; year-ahead forecasts carry much wider uncertainty than next-month calls.

How accurate is this forecast?

Over the most recent six-month test window, this model's Williamsport predictions were off by 0.1% on average.

Model details

Forecasts come from Sialim's proprietary forecasting engine, which runs several competing model specifications for every metro, backtests them against what actually happened, and publishes the winner for each horizon. Trained on 315 monthly observations (2000-01-31 to 2026-06-30). This metro's market heat index reads 54, with 0.2% of listings showing a price cut. See the methodology for how forecasts are built, and the ZHVI guide for what the underlying index measures.

Forecasts are model output, not advice. Data: Zillow ZHVI (© Zillow), Freddie Mac via FRED, US Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED.