Where US home values are headed
Sialim forecasts the typical home value for 894 US metros at three horizons: next month, next quarter, and one year out, using 26 years of Zillow price history plus mortgage rates, for-sale inventory, and labor data. Every forecast is backtested and shows its own accuracy. Each dot below is a metro, scored 0–100 on forecast appreciation, price stability, affordability, labor trend, and inventory pressure. Current forecast month: September 2026. Zillow publishes each month's home value data in the middle of the following month; forecasts here roll forward within a day of each release, and a September 2026 forecast stays a live, ungraded prediction until that month's data arrives.
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Strongest — September 2026
| Metro | Forecast | 1-month change |
|---|---|---|
| Morgan City, LA | $129,014 | +1.71% |
| Pontiac, IL | $178,220 | +1.13% |
| Lawton, OK | $160,328 | +1.13% |
| Grants, NM | $162,561 | +1.11% |
| Abilene, TX | $225,151 | +1.00% |
| Vineyard Haven, MA | $1,573,233 | +1.00% |
| Macomb, IL | $102,310 | +0.95% |
| Sweetwater, TX | $128,438 | +0.94% |
| Ogdensburg, NY | $152,781 | +0.92% |
| Ocean City, NJ | $813,634 | +0.91% |
Weakest — September 2026
| Metro | Forecast | 1-month change |
|---|---|---|
| Bennettsville, SC | $121,785 | -1.57% |
| Eagle Pass, TX | $216,943 | -1.06% |
| Rio Grande City, TX | $143,916 | -1.04% |
| Pine Bluff, AR | $105,476 | -0.98% |
| Middlesborough, KY | $90,771 | -0.96% |
| Selma, AL | $88,016 | -0.77% |
| Deming, NM | $155,728 | -0.73% |
| Laurel, MS | $148,163 | -0.72% |
| Las Vegas, NM | $254,099 | -0.71% |
| Blytheville, AR | $117,407 | -0.61% |
Highest opportunity scores — September 2026
| # | Metro | Score | Forecast next month |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muscatine, IA | 84.8 | +0.67% |
| 2 | Coshocton, OH | 83.5 | +0.69% |
| 3 | Salem, OH | 83.1 | +0.50% |
| 4 | Marietta, OH | 82 | +0.52% |
| 5 | Clinton, IA | 81.3 | +0.71% |
| 6 | Forrest City, AR | 81.3 | +0.80% |
| 7 | Elmira, NY | 80.2 | +0.48% |
| 8 | New Philadelphia, OH | 79.9 | +0.60% |
| 9 | Canton, OH | 79.6 | +0.54% |
| 10 | Fremont, OH | 79.4 | +0.35% |
Scores are percentile blends across 854 mapped metros: forecast appreciation 35%, price stability 15%, affordability 20%, state labor trend 15%, inventory pressure 15%. Descriptive rankings, not investment advice. Method details on the methodology page.
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Largest 30 metros — September 2026
| Metro | Forecast | 1-month change |
|---|---|---|
| New York, NY | $739,243 | +0.57% |
| Los Angeles, CA | $955,151 | +0.27% |
| Chicago, IL | $359,194 | +0.54% |
| Dallas, TX | $360,866 | +0.12% |
| Houston, TX | $305,134 | +0.04% |
| Washington, DC | $574,239 | +0.16% |
| Philadelphia, PA | $390,540 | +0.26% |
| Miami, FL | $477,920 | +0.44% |
| Atlanta, GA | $377,497 | +0.02% |
| Boston, MA | $735,774 | +0.30% |
| Phoenix, AZ | $442,220 | +0.03% |
| San Francisco, CA | $1,129,098 | +0.53% |
| Riverside, CA | $582,614 | +0.20% |
| Detroit, MI | $267,814 | +0.24% |
| Seattle, WA | $728,211 | +0.12% |
| Minneapolis, MN | $389,814 | +0.24% |
| San Diego, CA | $933,000 | +0.24% |
| Tampa, FL | $359,185 | +0.13% |
| Denver, CO | $560,608 | +0.16% |
| Baltimore, MD | $400,287 | +0.01% |
| St. Louis, MO | $276,710 | +0.36% |
| Orlando, FL | $383,708 | +0.07% |
| Charlotte, NC | $384,140 | -0.08% |
| San Antonio, TX | $276,639 | -0.04% |
| Portland, OR | $544,191 | +0.25% |
| Sacramento, CA | $576,053 | +0.21% |
| Pittsburgh, PA | $232,602 | +0.21% |
| Cincinnati, OH | $309,028 | +0.20% |
| Austin, TX | $418,176 | +0.05% |
| Las Vegas, NV | $423,395 | -0.14% |