One-Year Housing Outlook
Forecasts for July 2027, the 12-month view; uncertainty is much wider at this range. Switch horizon: month · quarter · year
Forecast to rise
641
of 894 metros by July 2027
Forecast to fall or hold
253
by July 2027
Cooling markets
112
Prices have been slipping and Sialim's model forecasts further softness.
Overheating markets
101
Prices are rising well above the national norm.
Strongest — July 2027
| Metro | Current value | Forecast | 1-year change | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poplar Bluff, MO | $173,680 | $199,754 | +15.01% | Neutral |
| Mexico, MO | $195,920 | $221,628 | +13.12% | Stabilizing |
| Jamestown, ND | $233,382 | $263,272 | +12.81% | Overheating |
| Stevens Point, WI | $327,042 | $368,428 | +12.65% | Neutral |
| Abilene, TX | $219,823 | $245,700 | +11.77% | Overheating |
| Centralia, IL | $121,991 | $135,647 | +11.20% | Stabilizing |
| Shawano, WI | $282,344 | $313,325 | +10.97% | Neutral |
| Worthington, MN | $246,687 | $273,259 | +10.77% | Cooling |
| Peru, IN | $167,604 | $185,337 | +10.58% | Stabilizing |
| Altoona, PA | $180,366 | $199,017 | +10.34% | Neutral |
Weakest — July 2027
| Metro | Current value | Forecast | 1-year change | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenville, MS | $59,613 | $42,399 | -28.88% | Cooling |
| Bennettsville, SC | $94,507 | $75,219 | -20.41% | Stabilizing |
| Middlesborough, KY | $94,315 | $77,548 | -17.78% | Neutral |
| Opelousas, LA | $133,082 | $117,879 | -11.42% | Cooling |
| Indianola, MS | $83,683 | $75,921 | -9.28% | Cooling |
| Clarksdale, MS | $50,265 | $45,646 | -9.19% | Cooling |
| Greenwood, MS | $94,084 | $85,610 | -9.01% | Neutral |
| Camden, AR | $109,627 | $100,350 | -8.46% | Neutral |
| Zapata, TX | $127,919 | $117,440 | -8.19% | Neutral |
| Pecos, TX | $183,269 | $168,280 | -8.18% | Stabilizing |
Largest 30 metros — July 2027
| Metro | Current value | Forecast | 1-year change | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York, NY | $735,003 | $756,473 | +2.92% | Overheating |
| Los Angeles, CA | $968,028 | $971,716 | +0.38% | Neutral |
| Chicago, IL | $359,888 | $376,724 | +4.68% | Overheating |
| Dallas, TX | $366,701 | $356,162 | -2.87% | Neutral |
| Houston, TX | $308,933 | $302,090 | -2.21% | Neutral |
| Washington, DC | $584,684 | $582,784 | -0.33% | Cooling |
| Philadelphia, PA | $394,762 | $405,055 | +2.61% | Neutral |
| Miami, FL | $476,598 | $471,685 | -1.03% | Stabilizing |
| Atlanta, GA | $383,050 | $369,438 | -3.55% | Neutral |
| Boston, MA | $746,595 | $752,125 | +0.74% | Cooling |
| Phoenix, AZ | $447,054 | $432,677 | -3.22% | Neutral |
| San Francisco, CA | $1,142,320 | $1,141,964 | -0.03% | Stabilizing |
| Riverside, CA | $586,047 | $584,623 | -0.24% | Stabilizing |
| Detroit, MI | $271,675 | $274,786 | +1.15% | Stabilizing |
| Seattle, WA | $745,263 | $723,501 | -2.92% | Cooling |
| Minneapolis, MN | $395,726 | $407,689 | +3.02% | Cooling |
| San Diego, CA | $940,998 | $943,623 | +0.28% | Cooling |
| Tampa, FL | $361,156 | $348,638 | -3.47% | Neutral |
| Denver, CO | $572,682 | $551,072 | -3.77% | Cooling |
| Baltimore, MD | $407,614 | $407,798 | +0.04% | Stabilizing |
| St. Louis, MO | $280,016 | $288,262 | +2.94% | Overheating |
| Orlando, FL | $387,301 | $378,238 | -2.34% | Neutral |
| Charlotte, NC | $390,942 | $386,803 | -1.06% | Neutral |
| San Antonio, TX | $280,370 | $274,052 | -2.25% | Neutral |
| Portland, OR | $553,092 | $549,092 | -0.72% | Cooling |
| Sacramento, CA | $584,122 | $582,685 | -0.25% | Cooling |
| Pittsburgh, PA | $235,539 | $237,263 | +0.73% | Stabilizing |
| Cincinnati, OH | $313,303 | $316,167 | +0.91% | Stabilizing |
| Austin, TX | $426,944 | $401,182 | -6.03% | Cooling |
| Las Vegas, NV | $430,436 | $418,957 | -2.67% | Neutral |