Next-Quarter Housing Outlook
Forecasts for October 2026, where the models see prices by the end of the quarter. Switch horizon: month · quarter · year
Forecast to rise
631
of 894 metros by October 2026
Forecast to fall or hold
263
by October 2026
Cooling markets
112
Prices have been slipping and Sialim's model forecasts further softness.
Overheating markets
101
Prices are rising well above the national norm.
Strongest — October 2026
| Metro | Current value | Forecast | Quarter change | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico, MO | $195,920 | $205,639 | +4.96% | Stabilizing |
| San Angelo, TX | $234,266 | $245,778 | +4.91% | Neutral |
| Stevens Point, WI | $327,042 | $341,838 | +4.52% | Neutral |
| Connersville, IN | $165,310 | $171,900 | +3.99% | Stabilizing |
| Peru, IN | $167,604 | $174,254 | +3.97% | Stabilizing |
| Freeport, IL | $162,063 | $168,316 | +3.86% | Overheating |
| Abilene, TX | $219,823 | $228,222 | +3.82% | Overheating |
| Worthington, MN | $246,687 | $256,074 | +3.81% | Cooling |
| North Vernon, IN | $230,646 | $239,272 | +3.74% | Neutral |
| Indiana, PA | $173,815 | $180,272 | +3.71% | Overheating |
Weakest — October 2026
| Metro | Current value | Forecast | Quarter change | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesborough, KY | $94,315 | $89,289 | -5.33% | Neutral |
| Indianola, MS | $83,683 | $79,239 | -5.31% | Cooling |
| Raymondville, TX | $174,338 | $166,448 | -4.53% | Cooling |
| Deming, NM | $158,720 | $152,144 | -4.14% | Neutral |
| Zapata, TX | $127,919 | $122,667 | -4.11% | Neutral |
| Grenada, MS | $131,459 | $126,313 | -3.92% | Cooling |
| Forrest City, AR | $83,838 | $80,723 | -3.71% | Cooling |
| Greenwood, MS | $94,084 | $90,998 | -3.28% | Neutral |
| Roanoke Rapids, NC | $107,355 | $103,881 | -3.24% | Neutral |
| Sherman, TX | $289,707 | $281,126 | -2.96% | Neutral |
Largest 30 metros — October 2026
| Metro | Current value | Forecast | Quarter change | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York, NY | $735,003 | $742,471 | +1.02% | Overheating |
| Los Angeles, CA | $968,028 | $969,567 | +0.16% | Neutral |
| Chicago, IL | $359,888 | $364,602 | +1.31% | Overheating |
| Dallas, TX | $366,701 | $364,864 | -0.50% | Neutral |
| Houston, TX | $308,933 | $306,773 | -0.70% | Neutral |
| Washington, DC | $584,684 | $586,292 | +0.28% | Cooling |
| Philadelphia, PA | $394,762 | $397,293 | +0.64% | Neutral |
| Miami, FL | $476,598 | $475,659 | -0.20% | Stabilizing |
| Atlanta, GA | $383,050 | $379,072 | -1.04% | Neutral |
| Boston, MA | $746,595 | $751,366 | +0.64% | Cooling |
| Phoenix, AZ | $447,054 | $443,124 | -0.88% | Neutral |
| San Francisco, CA | $1,142,320 | $1,153,515 | +0.98% | Stabilizing |
| Riverside, CA | $586,047 | $586,750 | +0.12% | Stabilizing |
| Detroit, MI | $271,675 | $274,463 | +1.03% | Stabilizing |
| Seattle, WA | $745,263 | $741,149 | -0.55% | Cooling |
| Minneapolis, MN | $395,726 | $397,039 | +0.33% | Cooling |
| San Diego, CA | $940,998 | $944,433 | +0.36% | Cooling |
| Tampa, FL | $361,156 | $358,827 | -0.65% | Neutral |
| Denver, CO | $572,682 | $568,587 | -0.71% | Cooling |
| Baltimore, MD | $407,614 | $408,266 | +0.16% | Stabilizing |
| St. Louis, MO | $280,016 | $283,004 | +1.07% | Overheating |
| Orlando, FL | $387,301 | $384,957 | -0.60% | Neutral |
| Charlotte, NC | $390,942 | $390,134 | -0.21% | Neutral |
| San Antonio, TX | $280,370 | $278,835 | -0.55% | Neutral |
| Portland, OR | $553,092 | $554,503 | +0.26% | Cooling |
| Sacramento, CA | $584,122 | $585,407 | +0.22% | Cooling |
| Pittsburgh, PA | $235,539 | $236,302 | +0.32% | Stabilizing |
| Cincinnati, OH | $313,303 | $314,472 | +0.37% | Stabilizing |
| Austin, TX | $426,944 | $417,085 | -2.31% | Cooling |
| Las Vegas, NV | $430,436 | $425,844 | -1.07% | Neutral |