SIALIMStatistical Intelligence for America's Local Investment Markets

Tennessee Housing Market Forecast — September 2026

Sialim tracks 26 Tennessee metros, forecasting home values next month, next quarter, and one year out from Zillow price history plus mortgage rates, inventory, and labor data.

Metros tracked
26
in Tennessee
Forecast to rise — September 2026
15
11 forecast to fall or hold
Average forecast change
+0.10%
across all Tennessee metros, next month
Largest metro
by size rank

Tennessee metros — September 2026

MetroCurrent valueForecast1-month changeRegime
Nashville, TN$452,186$452,761+0.13%Cooling
Memphis, TN$244,737$244,696-0.02%Neutral
Knoxville, TN$364,988$365,406+0.12%Stabilizing
Chattanooga, TN$322,958$322,586-0.12%Cooling
Clarksville, TN$291,739$291,908+0.06%Stabilizing
Kingsport, TN$246,243$246,497+0.10%Stabilizing
Johnson City, TN$281,957$282,349+0.14%Neutral
Jackson, TN$205,926$205,440-0.24%Cooling
Morristown, TN$299,596$299,442-0.05%Stabilizing
Cleveland, TN$311,101$310,806-0.10%Cooling
Cookeville, TN$294,931$294,889-0.01%Neutral
Tullahoma, TN$315,973$315,800-0.06%Cooling
Sevierville, TN$407,709$408,251+0.13%Cooling
Greeneville, TN$251,799$251,620-0.07%Stabilizing
Crossville, TN$308,036$308,028-0.00%Cooling
Athens, TN$260,366$260,676+0.12%Stabilizing
Shelbyville, TN$331,044$331,126+0.03%Cooling
Lawrenceburg, TN$247,471$248,109+0.26%Cooling
McMinnville, TN$259,787$260,926+0.44%Stabilizing
Dyersburg, TN$174,855$175,548+0.40%Neutral
Newport, TN$245,822$246,085+0.11%Stabilizing
Lewisburg, TN$325,549$325,288-0.08%Neutral
Martin, TN$193,528$194,239+0.37%Neutral
Dayton, TN$264,735$264,479-0.10%Cooling
Paris, TN$222,831$223,824+0.45%Stabilizing
Union City, TN$169,492$170,585+0.65%Neutral

Frequently asked questions

Are Tennessee home prices rising or falling?

Of the 26 Tennessee metros Sialim tracks, 15 are forecast to rise in September 2026 and 11 are forecast to fall or hold. The average forecast change across the state is +0.10%.

What is the largest Tennessee metro by home value tracked here?

Nashville, TN, with a typical home value of $452,186 as of the latest data.

Forecasts are model output, not advice. Data: Zillow ZHVI (© Zillow), Freddie Mac via FRED, US Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED. Methodology.